Author name: Simon Carley

Simon Carley MB ChB, PGDip, DipIMC (RCS Ed), FRCS (Ed)(1998), FHEA, FAcadMed, FRCEM, FTACC, MPhil, MD, PhD is Creator, Webmaster, owner and Editor in Chief of the St Emlyn’s blog and podcast. He has a MAHSC Professorship from the University of Manchester. He is a Consultant in adult and paediatric Emergency Medicine at Manchester Foundation Trust and a HEMS consultant with North West Air Ambulance. He is co-founder of BestBets, St.Emlyns and the MSc in emergency medicine at Manchester Metropolitan University. He is an Education Associate with the General Medical Council. His research interests include diagnostics, MedEd, Major incidents & Evidence based Emergency Medicine. He is verified on social media as @EMManchester

Emergency Medicine, a risky business Part 3. How often is it acceptable for me to be wrong?

How much diagnostic uncertainty can clinicians and patients accept? Part three of Risky Business explores how percentages and natural frequencies shape risk perception, and why missed disease must be weighed alongside the harms of further testing and the patient’s perspective.

Emergency Medicine, a risky business Part 3. How often is it acceptable for me to be wrong? Read More

What’s your NNT?

How much difference does an individual emergency physician make? Simon Carley uses the idea of a personal number needed to treat to explore teamwork, meaningful outcomes and professional worth, before proposing a more useful comparison: whether you are improving on your own previous practice.

What’s your NNT? Read More

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